Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.276345 0.323595 0.373686 0.430467 0.492774 0.558802 0.633800
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.208186 0.271572 0.343373 0.429631 0.529363 0.640034 0.771099
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.153256 0.223594 0.308733 0.416771 0.547672 0.698769 0.883967
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.122839 0.199074 0.297068 0.427396 0.591483 0.786868 1.032723
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.092895 0.169245 0.273933 0.419992 0.610914 0.845039 1.146856
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.078526 0.158117 0.273220 0.439963 0.664201 0.945202 1.313808
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.061849 0.139970 0.259940 0.440916 0.691610 1.012756 1.441405
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.048854 0.124772 0.248538 0.442561 0.718744 1.079602 1.568689
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.040463 0.115604 0.244814 0.454143 0.758919 1.163586 1.718816
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.034319 0.109161 0.244353 0.469863 0.804687 1.255374 1.880156
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.029106 0.103268 0.243871 0.484987 0.849535 1.346396 2.041627
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022144 0.091408 0.231427 0.480163 0.864804 1.397115 2.150377
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.017575 0.083916 0.226136 0.486716 0.897511 1.473357 2.295873
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012689 0.073481 0.213760 0.480482 0.910521 1.522285 2.405422
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008182 0.061418 0.196056 0.463491 0.905922 1.545814 2.480484
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006322 0.057167 0.193856 0.472998 0.942197 1.627660 2.636000
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004022 0.049129 0.181907 0.463941 0.948553 1.666310 2.732292
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003361 0.048176 0.186108 0.484583 1.002691 1.774881 2.926679
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002222 0.043258 0.179922 0.485180 1.024184 1.835912 3.055359
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001415 0.038987 0.174513 0.486681 1.046882 1.898788 3.187105
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001005 0.036966 0.174645 0.498868 1.087395 1.988492 3.357490
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000747 0.035840 0.177023 0.515510 1.135572 2.090088 3.545521
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000537 0.034676 0.179097 0.531543 1.182966 2.191029 3.733517